{"id":21090,"date":"2018-04-28T11:21:11","date_gmt":"2018-04-28T15:21:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/?p=21090"},"modified":"2018-04-28T11:21:14","modified_gmt":"2018-04-28T15:21:14","slug":"dont-blame-trump-for-all-of-this-chaos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/?p=21090","title":{"rendered":"Don&#8217;t blame Trump for all of this chaos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\"><strong>By Mike McGann<\/strong>, <em>Editor, The Times<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\"><a href=\"http:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/TimesPoliticsUnusual-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-7079\" src=\"http:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/TimesPoliticsUnusual-1-251x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"210\" height=\"251\" \/><\/a>I remember taking my mother to the hospital in December of 1992. X-rays showed a mass in her lung. By June, 1993, she was gone.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">We blamed the cancer. But in truth, it was all those years of smoking Pall Mall Gold 100s \u2014 as a kid, she used send me down to the local deli to pick up a couple of packs, which she smoked every day until about five years before she died, when her doctor finally convinced her to quit, cold turkey. 40-plus years later, I feel a bit of guilt for enabling that behavior as a kid, even if it doesn\u2019t make much sense.<\/span><!--more--><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">If that seems like an odd and overly personal way to open a political column, hear me out.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">President Donald J. Trump is like that tumor \u2014 everyone (most notably, departing members of Congress) wants to blame him for the chaos, the scandals and the<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>possible thrashing of Republicans this fall.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The problem is that Republicans have been metaphorically smoking eight packs of unfiltered Camels a day for more than three decades and now, some, seem surprised at the outcome.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Maybe it started with The Moral Majority (which then and now was neither) \u2014 arrogant faux moralism is a gateway drug \u2014 or the day the National Rifle Association was taken over by extremists in 1978, or maybe it all started in November, 1960, when it seems pretty obvious now that Democrats stole the presidential election from Richard Nixon. That built up resentment and anger, and his subsequent ouster during Watergate fed it even more. Newt Gingrich and Fox News took that sense of grievance, amplified it and then\u00a0 profited from it.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The GOP has spent more than a generation as the party of grievance \u2014 which is deeply unhealthy both for the party and the country. More worrisome, its becoming increasingly evident that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/democratic-voters-dont-want-compromise-with-republicans-eff1d99a-0a2d-475d-934d-47097e4e216b.html\">Democrats are beginning to embrace grievance<\/a> as well, which explains much of today\u2019s poisoned atmosphere (the unacceptable on the record distribution of unsubstantiated charges against White House Physician Ronny Jackson \u2014 who was Trump\u2019s nominee to lead the Veterans Administration before withdrawing Thursday\u2014 is an example).<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Winning \u2014 not what\u2019s best for America \u2014 has become the only goal. It is corrosive, polarizing and ultimately, as Republicans are just now grasping, self-destructive. Democrats should take heed before they, too, find themselves with their own political tumor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Typifying that behavior \u2014 and you could list dozens, maybe hundreds more \u2014 is a comment posted on Facebook last week by State Rep. Darryl Metcalfe (R-12), who chairs the House State Government Committee:<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>\u201cI block all substantive Democrat legislation sent to my committee and advance good Republican legislation!\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Doesn\u2019t matter, in Metcalfe\u2019s mind, whether the Democratic bills have merit, he blocked them. By the way, this is the same guy who brazenly gutted the bipartisan independent redistricting bill championed by local State Rep. Eric Roe (R-158) so that a Republican majority in the legislature would continue to control redistricting, and thus, who wins elections.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Win. At. All. Costs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">We saw it for eight years under President Barack Obama. If he wanted something, a large majority of Republicans were against it. Not for the merits in all cases \u2014 obviously, it\u2019s not unusual for legislators of one party to oppose the priorities of a president in another \u2014 but because they could never allow Obama a win. The entire guts of the Affordable Care Act \u2014 Obamacare \u2014 were crafted from Republican ideas, ideas put into place in Massachusetts by then Gov. Mitt Romney. Rank and file Democrats wanted single payer, or at least Medicare For All \u2014 but Obama figured embracing GOP policy was the best way to make progress.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Win. At. All. Costs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">We saw it with the U.S. Senate refusing to take up the Supreme Court nomination of Merrick Garland. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell claimed that it was inappropriate for a president to nominate a justice in an election year. The fact that it had happened six times since 1912 \u2014 the most recent being Anthony Kennedy toward the end of President Ronald Reagan\u2019s Administration \u2014 was immaterial.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Win. At. All. Costs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">But in the end, it poisons your own well.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Example A: the embarrassing campaign for Governor in Pennsylvania. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Paul Mango and Scott Wagner have been playing scorched Earth politics against each other \u2014 not really caring if the other is mortally wounded for the general election against Gov. Tom Wolf. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Aside from the fact that really only Laura Ellsworth stands any chance of beating Wolf in the fall \u2014 she\u2019s a moderate, grown up who has comported herself with dignity while focusing on issues and she would pull very strongly in the vote-dense collar counties of Philadelphia as well as in the suburban counties of the Pittsburgh area she hails from \u2014 Mango and Wagner are indulging in the kind of self-indulgent, undisciplined food fight that turns off voters and hurts the party in the long term.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">But again, even in primaries:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Win. At. All. Costs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">This isn\u2019t a sustainable model in politics and has proven deeply destructive in the past. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">America needs two healthy, functioning parties \u2014 the yin and yang as it were \u2014 to keep things in balance. One hopes that the old moderation, sanity and conservatism (as opposed to the current reactionary behavior) find their place again within the Republican Party, and soon.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span class=\"s1\">***<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">It appears some of the long-term damage of that behavior is catching up with Pennsylvania\u2019s Republican Party.<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityandstatepa.com\/content\/ahead-crucial-midterms-pa-gop-short-staff-and-funding\"> A report this week in City &amp; State Pennsylvania<\/a> suggests that the state party is in dire financial straits and saw much of its top staff \u2014 familiar names to those who follow Chester County politics \u2014 depart.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Current state and Chester County Party Chair Val DiGiorgio appears to be under fire in both positions \u2014 on the state level he waded into the nasty Wagner-Mango fight, locally, because many question his ability to run a county party and a statewide party at the same time.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">It remains early in the cycle \u2013 and Republicans have a knack for finding a handful of big checks just when they need them to fund campaign operations. Still, should the redistricting really shred the GOP Congressional delegation, as expected, Wolf get reelected and there be serious losses in the state legislature, DiGiorgio\u2019s seat could become appreciably hotter in both posts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span class=\"s1\">***<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Just when some voters in Chester County thought they\u2019d not have to worry about a Congressional race before November \u2014 Democrat Chrissy Houlahan and Republican Greg McCauley are running unopposed in the May primary for the new 6th District \u2014 some voters in the southeast portion of the county get to vote in the old 7th District special election to replace Patrick Meehan, who resigned Friday.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Under state law, a special election must be called within 60 days of Meehan\u2019s resignation, which means a potential quickie race for a seat that won\u2019t exist in a few months. It\u2019s hard to see who would benefit from running \u2014 maybe some of the many candidates running in the new 5th district, which is made up of most of Delaware County.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">It offers the opportunity for a strange race \u2014 one where the winner serves a handful of months and finds themselves without a district.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">As for Meehan, who has been my own member of Congress for the last few years, it doesn\u2019t seem like a great loss to Chester County. He seemed unengaged with any part of his district outside of Delaware County and never really seemed to connect with his constituents here.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span class=\"s1\">***<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">As for the Blue Wave, I remain somewhat unconvinced at this point. Yes, there are a lot of data points suggesting deep Democratic enthusiasm. Yes, there is dismay at Trump and the Congressional redistricting and lackluster GOP candidates in the gubernatorial and U.S. Senate race will likely hurt Republican turnout, particularly in the suburbs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">But\u2026.and there\u2019s always a but. I\u2019d like to flash back to 2004. Despite then President George W. Bush being unpopular for the Iraq War and an active Democratic voter base, GOP voter turnout was off the hook.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Why?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">A lot of voters I spoke with \u2014 I was running for State Representative at the time \u2014 told me they felt their entire party, and by extension, they \u2014 were under attack by groups such as MoveOn and that they had to get out and vote to protect their party and way of life. And boy, they sure did \u2014 Democrats turned out fairly well, but Republican turnout was exceptional.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">So, in your calculations for the fall of 2018 you have to ask: will Republicans feel a need to vote because Trump and the party are under withering attack? It\u2019s at least a possible scenario.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Despite being motivated and well funded, Democratic Get Out The Vote operations will be hampered by one factor: Democratic voters. To be honest, a big chunk of them are flakes or worse, can\u2019t be bothered to vote unless they can vote for president. We used to call them 1-of-4s in my campaign management days \u2014 they only vote in presidential elections and were really hard to get to turn out any other time, because they just couldn\u2019t be bothered. Visceral dislike of Trump may motivate them to come out, but you wonder whether a fatigue factor will set in and leave them on the sidelines, bored and distracted.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Yes, locally, it will be a shock if Democrats don\u2019t pick up the 6th District seat and the 5th District seats in Congress \u2014 the demographics and voting history of both new districts strongly favor Democrats. That, in turn, could help with state legislative races.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">But I remain skeptical of the blue wave of 2018 \u2014 I don\u2019t see the level of commitment by voters seen in 2006 at this point. My thoughts may well change by Labor Day, but I think we all should take the blue wave hype with a grain of salt.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Mike McGann, Editor, The Times I remember taking my mother to the hospital in December of 1992. X-rays showed a mass in her lung. By June, 1993, she was gone. We blamed the cancer. But in truth, it was all those years of smoking Pall Mall Gold 100s \u2014 as a kid, she used [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21092,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[7801,1078,7799,6511,3912,7800,1081,3451],"class_list":["post-21090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-blue-wave","tag-congress","tag-donald-j-trump-republicans","tag-election-2018","tag-featured","tag-grievance","tag-patrick-meehan","tag-val-digiorgio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=21090"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21090\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21091,"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21090\/revisions\/21091"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/21092"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=21090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=21090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coatesvilletimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=21090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}